EdgeGoat
Carson Benge
New York Mets · #3 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 72.9% | 70.6% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 91.7% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 15 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 73.3% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 90.3% | 76.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 70.6% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 72.2% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 67.7% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 64.9% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 61.5% | lost(3) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 72.9%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 91.7%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 15 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 90.3%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6lost(3)
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 61.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Carson Benge's props?
Across the last 8 graded model lines on Carson Benge, 3 won and 5 lost.
Every Carson Benge line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).