EdgeGoat
Carson Kelly
Chicago Cubs · #15 · 236 games logged
H · last 200.7
RBI · last 200.3
R · last 200.4
TB · last 200.8
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | H | RBI | R | TB | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 30 | @ SD | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 29 | @ SD | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 25 | @ BOS | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 24 | vs MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 23 | vs MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 22 | vs MIA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 19 | @ CIN | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 18 | @ CIN | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 16 | vs ATL | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 15 | vs ATL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 14 | vs ATL | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
| Sep 13 | vs PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 12 | vs PIT | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 11 | vs PIT | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 9 | @ MIL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 8 | @ MIL | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 7 | @ MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 6 | @ MIA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 4 | @ MIA | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 3 | vs MIL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 29 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.2% | 77.8% |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 77.8% |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.9% | 60.8% |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 29 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 87.2%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 25 · projected 0.2
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 25 · projected 0.8
- Model
- 71.9%
- Book
- 60.8%
Frequently asked questions
What is Carson Kelly averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Carson Kelly is averaging 0.7 h, 0.3 rbi, 0.4 r, 0.8 tb.
How did Carson Kelly play in the last game?
On Wednesday, September 30, 2026 at SD, Carson Kelly recorded 1 h, 0 rbi, 0 r, 1 tb.
Every Carson Kelly line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).