EdgeGoat
Carter Jensen
Kansas City Royals · #22 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 26 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 66.1% | 65.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 26 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 51.5% | 50.0% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 26 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.0% | 45.5% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 67.7% | 66.7% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 57.1% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 56.9% | 56.5% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 63.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 62.3% | lost(3) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.0% | 72.2% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 69.7% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 5 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 98.7% | 97.6% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.1% | 63.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 5 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 96.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 75.3% | 66.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 100.0% | 99.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 95.2% | 63.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 98.2% | 97.6% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 26 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 66.1%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 26 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 51.5%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 26 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 62.0%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 20 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 67.7%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 29 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 57.1%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 56.9%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(3)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 98.0%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 5 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 98.7%
- Book
- 97.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.1%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 5 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 96.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksMay 5 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.6won(0)
- Model
- 75.3%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 99.8%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.7won(0)
- Model
- 95.2%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.5won(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 97.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Carter Jensen's props?
Across the last 14 graded model lines on Carter Jensen, 12 won and 2 lost.
Every Carter Jensen line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).