EdgeGoat
Casey Mize
San Diego Padres · #32 · 57 games logged
IP · last 204.8
K · last 203.8
HA · last 204.9
ER · last 202.7
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | IP | K | HA | ER | BBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | vs ARI | 4 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 2 |
| Sep 19 | vs MIA | 3 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Sep 14 | @ COL | 5 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 2 |
| Sep 8 | vs WSH | 5.2 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 1 |
| Sep 2 | @ CIN | 4 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 1 |
| Aug 28 | @ TB | 5 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 1 |
| Aug 22 | vs MIN | 2.2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 |
| Aug 16 | @ CLE | 6 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Aug 10 | vs MIL | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Aug 5 | @ ARI | 3.1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 3 |
| Jul 25 | vs KC | 6 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Jul 19 | @ LAA | 3.1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Jul 11 | vs PHI | 5.2 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Jul 5 | @ TEX | 6.2 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| Jun 29 | @ NYY | 7 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 23 | vs NYY | 5.2 | 6 | 8 | 4 | 1 |
| Jun 17 | @ HOU | 4.2 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| May 27 | vs LAA | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| May 21 | vs CLE | 6.2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 |
| May 16 | vs TOR | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 Innings Pitched | Sep 25 · projected 15.6 | 15.6 | 87.1% | 60.0% |
| Over 2.5 Pitcher K's | Sep 25 · projected 4.0 | 4.0 | 84.0% | 80.0% |
- Over 14.5 Innings PitchedSep 25 · projected 15.6
- Model
- 87.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 2.5 Pitcher K'sSep 25 · projected 4.0
- Model
- 84.0%
- Book
- 80.0%
Frequently asked questions
What is Casey Mize averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Casey Mize is averaging 4.8 ip, 3.8 k, 4.9 ha, 2.7 er.
How did Casey Mize play in the last game?
On Friday, September 25, 2026 vs ARI, Casey Mize recorded 4 ip, 1 k, 7 ha, 7 er.
Every Casey Mize line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).