EdgeGoat
Ceddanne Rafaela
Boston Red Sox · #3 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 29 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 63.5% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 89.3% | 83.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.8% | 65.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 17 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 83.3% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.8% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 29 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 53.2% | 46.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 58.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 82.7% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 63.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 79.5% | 71.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 79.5% | 66.1% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 66.7% | lost(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 79.5% | 66.1% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 63.6% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 9 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 79.7% | 68.8% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 8 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 80.1% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 8 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 64.9% | lost(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 7 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 80.1% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 6 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.9% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 29 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 89.3%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 66.8%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 17 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 83.3%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.8%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 29 · projected 1.9lost(0)
- Model
- 53.2%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 82.7%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 79.5%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 79.5%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 12 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 79.5%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 9 · projected 0.8pending
- Model
- 79.7%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 8 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 80.1%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 8 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 7 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 80.1%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 6 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 70.9%
- Book
- 63.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Ceddanne Rafaela's props?
Across the last 18 graded model lines on Ceddanne Rafaela, 11 won and 7 lost.
Every Ceddanne Rafaela line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).