EdgeGoat
Chandler Simpson
Tampa Bay Rays · #14 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 67.6% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 25 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 81.9% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 87.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 5 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 70.8% | 69.2% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 28 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 85.7% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 84.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 81.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 9 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 70.4% | 69.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 9 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 72.6% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 21 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 67.3% | 65.5% | pending |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jul 11 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 50.0% | 48.8% | won(2) |
| Over 1.5 mlbHits | Jul 6 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 56.3% | 32.3% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 6 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 61.4% | 39.2% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 92.0% | 84.0% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 25 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 78.5% | 43.5% | won(3) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 86.9% | 72.2% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 67.7% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 9 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 89.3% | 71.4% | pending |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 6 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 86.7% | 71.4% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 67.6%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 25 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 81.9%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 87.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 5 · projected 1.6lost(0)
- Model
- 70.8%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 28 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 85.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 84.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 9 · projected 1.6won(1)
- Model
- 70.4%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 9 · projected 1.9won(1)
- Model
- 72.6%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 21 · projected 1.5pending
- Model
- 67.3%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisJul 11 · projected 2.0won(2)
- Model
- 50.0%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 1.5 mlbHitsJul 6 · projected 1.7lost(1)
- Model
- 56.3%
- Book
- 32.3%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 6 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 39.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 92.0%
- Book
- 84.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 25 · projected 2.2won(3)
- Model
- 78.5%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 86.9%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 9 · projected 1.1pending
- Model
- 89.3%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 6 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 86.7%
- Book
- 71.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Chandler Simpson's props?
Across the last 17 graded model lines on Chandler Simpson, 13 won and 4 lost.
Every Chandler Simpson line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).