EdgeGoat
Clay Holmes
Chicago Cubs · #25 · 51 games logged
IP · last 205.2
K · last 204
HA · last 204
ER · last 201.9
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | IP | K | HA | ER | BBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25 | @ BOS | 4.1 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 3 |
| Sep 18 | @ CIN | 5.1 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 |
| Sep 12 | vs PIT | 5.2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Sep 6 | @ MIA | 4.1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 3 |
| Aug 31 | vs MIL | 6 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 2 |
| Aug 25 | @ ARI | 7 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Aug 19 | vs CHW | 5.1 | 1 | 6 | 1 | 2 |
| Aug 14 | vs STL | 6.2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Aug 8 | @ KC | 4 | 1 | 6 | 4 | 2 |
| May 15 | vs NYY | 4.1 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 2 |
| May 9 | @ ARI | 5.2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2 |
| May 3 | @ LAA | 6.2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3 |
| Apr 28 | vs WSH | 6 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Apr 22 | vs MIN | 7 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Apr 15 | @ LAD | 5 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Apr 10 | vs ATH | 5.1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Apr 4 | @ SF | 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Mar 30 | @ STL | 5.2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Sep 27 | @ MIA | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 24 | @ CHC | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 Pitcher K's | Sep 25 · projected 3.4 | 3.4 | 88.5% | 78.9% |
- Over 2.5 Pitcher K'sSep 25 · projected 3.4
- Model
- 88.5%
- Book
- 78.9%
Frequently asked questions
What is Clay Holmes averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Clay Holmes is averaging 5.2 ip, 4 k, 4 ha, 1.9 er.
How did Clay Holmes play in the last game?
On Friday, September 25, 2026 at BOS, Clay Holmes recorded 4.1 ip, 3 k, 5 ha, 2 er.
Every Clay Holmes line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).