EdgeGoat
Colt Keith
Detroit Tigers · #33 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 67.2% | 50.0% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 13 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 69.1% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 81.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 55.0% | 41.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 11 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 67.4% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 7 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 69.6% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 6 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 66.9% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 4 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 66.9% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 2 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 67.5% | 60.8% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 68.0% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 15 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.5% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 60.8% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 73.3% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 61.4% | 36.4% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.0% | 51.2% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 97.6% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 81.8% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 5 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 98.0% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 80.3% | 80.0% | void(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 1.0void(0)
- Model
- 67.2%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 13 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 69.1%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 55.0%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 11 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 67.4%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 7 · projected 1.6lost(0)
- Model
- 69.6%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 6 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 4 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 2 · projected 1.3pending
- Model
- 67.5%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 68.0%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 15 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 65.5%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 60.8%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.9void(0)
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 36.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 1.0void(0)
- Model
- 65.0%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.0void(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 97.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 5 · projected 0.0void(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 98.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksMay 5 · projected 0.3void(0)
- Model
- 80.3%
- Book
- 80.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Colt Keith's props?
Across the last 11 graded model lines on Colt Keith, 7 won and 4 lost.
Every Colt Keith line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).