EdgeGoat
Connelly Early
Washington Nationals · #19 · 23 games logged
IP · last 205
K · last 205.4
HA · last 204.6
ER · last 202
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | IP | K | HA | ER | BBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | vs NYM | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Jun 30 | vs WSH | 4 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| Jun 25 | vs NYY | 6 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
| Jun 20 | @ SEA | 6 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Jun 14 | vs TEX | 4.2 | 3 | 11 | 6 | 2 |
| Jun 8 | @ TB | 4.2 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 4 |
| Jun 2 | vs BAL | 5.1 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 1 |
| May 27 | vs ATL | 7 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| May 20 | @ KC | 6.1 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| May 15 | @ ATL | 5 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0 |
| May 8 | vs TB | 7 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| May 2 | vs HOU | 4 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 3 |
| Apr 26 | @ BAL | 6.2 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
| Apr 21 | vs NYY | 5.1 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 3 |
| Apr 15 | @ MIN | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 |
| Apr 10 | @ STL | 4.1 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Apr 4 | vs SD | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 4 |
| Mar 29 | @ CIN | 5.1 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 2 |
| Oct 2 | @ NYY | 3.2 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Sep 27 | vs DET | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 4.5 Pitcher K's | Sep 26 · projected 5.5 | 5.5 | 69.4% | 26.7% |
- Over 4.5 Pitcher K'sSep 26 · projected 5.5
- Model
- 69.4%
- Book
- 26.7%
Frequently asked questions
What is Connelly Early averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Connelly Early is averaging 5 ip, 5.4 k, 4.6 ha, 2 er.
How did Connelly Early play in the last game?
On Saturday, September 26, 2026 vs NYM, Connelly Early recorded 3 ip, 1 k, 1 ha, 0 er.
Every Connelly Early line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).