EdgeGoat
Darell Hernaiz
Athletics · #2 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 26 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.1% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.2% | 84.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 8 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.5% | 54.5% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.6% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 4 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.6% | 60.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.8% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 25 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 72.2% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 23 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 90.3% | 80.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 23 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 71.2% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 22 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 90.4% | 80.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 21 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 71.3% | 63.6% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 20 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 85.6% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 17 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 99.7% | 98.4% | won(2) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | May 17 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 90.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 17 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 99.9% | 84.0% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 95.0% | 65.5% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 17 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.9% | 99.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 rbis | May 17 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 99.4% | 98.4% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 65.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 94.9% | 85.2% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 26 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 65.1%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 87.2%
- Book
- 84.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 8 · projected 1.0void(0)
- Model
- 64.5%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.6%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 4 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 61.6%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.8%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 25 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 72.2%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 23 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 90.3%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 23 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 71.2%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 22 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 90.4%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 21 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 71.3%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 20 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 85.6%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 17 · projected 1.5won(2)
- Model
- 99.7%
- Book
- 98.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksMay 17 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 90.0%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 17 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 84.0%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 95.0%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 17 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 99.3%
- Under 1.5 rbisMay 17 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 99.4%
- Book
- 98.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.9won(0)
- Model
- 94.9%
- Book
- 85.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Darell Hernaiz's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Darell Hernaiz, 12 won and 7 lost.
Every Darell Hernaiz line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).