EdgeGoat
Daulton Varsho
Houston Astros · #18 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.0% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 26 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.9% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 64.5% | 64.3% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 3 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 72.0% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 31 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.8% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 21 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.7% | 63.0% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 19 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 65.1% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | Jul 6 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 71.2% | 70.6% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Jul 6 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 70.0% | 63.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 15 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.1% | 66.1% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 72.2% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 70.6% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.2% | 98.4% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 80.4% | 29.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 43.6% | 26.7% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 94.7% | 93.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.9% | 66.1% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 29 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 65.0%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 26 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 65.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 64.5%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 3 · projected 1.8won(1)
- Model
- 72.0%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 31 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 64.8%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 21 · projected 1.0pending
- Model
- 64.7%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 19 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 65.1%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 0.5 rbisJul 6 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 71.2%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredJul 6 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 70.0%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 15 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.1%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 99.2%
- Book
- 98.4%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.4won(1)
- Model
- 80.4%
- Book
- 29.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 43.6%
- Book
- 26.7%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 94.7%
- Book
- 93.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 95.9%
- Book
- 66.1%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Daulton Varsho's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Daulton Varsho, 15 won and 4 lost.
Every Daulton Varsho line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).