EdgeGoat
Derek Hill
Philadelphia Phillies · #49 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 29 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 53.9% | 52.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 4 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.5% | 47.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 15 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.9% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 rbis | May 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 6 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 68.1% | 0.5% | lost(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 29 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 53.9%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 4 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 64.5%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 15 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 2.5 rbisMay 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 6 · projected 1.7lost(0)
- Model
- 68.1%
- Book
- 0.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Derek Hill's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Derek Hill, 2 won and 3 lost.
Every Derek Hill line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).