EdgeGoat
Dominic Smith
Atlanta Braves · #8 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 6 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 66.4% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 6 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.4% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 71.1% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 22 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 59.5% | 50.0% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 10 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 91.7% | 83.3% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 10 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 63.6% | 27.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 2.5 totalBases | May 10 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 99.6% | 83.3% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 6 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 66.4%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 6 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.4%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 71.1%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 22 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 59.5%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 10 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 91.7%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 10 · projected 2.0lost(1)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 27.8%
- Under 2.5 totalBasesMay 10 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 99.6%
- Book
- 83.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Dominic Smith's props?
Across the last 7 graded model lines on Dominic Smith, 5 won and 2 lost.
Every Dominic Smith line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).