Drake Baldwin

Atlanta Braves · #30 · 0 games logged

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Under 0.5 batterWalks	Sep 29 · projected 0.3	0.3	87.1%	75.0%	won(0)
Under 0.5 batterWalks	Sep 25 · projected 0.4	0.4	74.7%	68.8%	won(0)
Over 1.5 totalBases	Sep 10 · projected 2.2	2.2	65.3%	46.5%	lost(1)
Over 1.5 totalBases	Sep 6 · projected 2.2	2.2	65.9%	47.6%	won(3)
Over 1.5 totalBases	Sep 4 · projected 2.2	2.2	65.9%	40.8%	lost(1)
Over 1.5 totalBases	Aug 31 · projected 2.2	2.2	65.2%	50.0%	won(2)
Over 1.5 totalBases	Aug 8 · projected 2.2	2.2	65.5%	42.6%	lost(1)
Over 1.5 totalBases	Jul 27 · projected 2.2	2.2	65.6%	47.6%	lost(1)
Over 1.5 totalBases	Jul 6 · projected 2.2	2.2	65.2%	47.6%	won(2)
Over 1.5 totalBases	Jun 28 · projected 2.2	2.2	65.8%	43.5%	lost(0)
Over 1.5 totalBases	Jun 20 · projected 2.1	2.1	64.9%	44.4%	lost(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 18 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.2%	55.6%	won(1)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	May 18 · projected 0.9	0.9	90.6%	70.6%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 17 · projected 0.9	0.9	78.0%	71.4%	lost(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 17 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.2%	61.5%	won(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 14 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.1%	62.3%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 14 · projected 0.9	0.9	78.0%	70.6%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 13 · projected 0.6	0.6	98.1%	54.5%	lost(4)
Under 1.5 mlbHits	May 13 · projected 0.9	0.9	85.0%	70.6%	won(1)
Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis	May 10 · projected 2.1	2.1	85.3%	44.4%	won(3)

Under 0.5 batterWalks
Sep 29 · projected 0.3
won(0)
Model
87.1%
Book
75.0%
Under 0.5 batterWalks
Sep 25 · projected 0.4
won(0)
Model
74.7%
Book
68.8%
Over 1.5 totalBases
Sep 10 · projected 2.2
lost(1)
Model
65.3%
Book
46.5%
Over 1.5 totalBases
Sep 6 · projected 2.2
won(3)
Model
65.9%
Book
47.6%
Over 1.5 totalBases
Sep 4 · projected 2.2
lost(1)
Model
65.9%
Book
40.8%
Over 1.5 totalBases
Aug 31 · projected 2.2
won(2)
Model
65.2%
Book
50.0%
Over 1.5 totalBases
Aug 8 · projected 2.2
lost(1)
Model
65.5%
Book
42.6%
Over 1.5 totalBases
Jul 27 · projected 2.2
lost(1)
Model
65.6%
Book
47.6%
Over 1.5 totalBases
Jul 6 · projected 2.2
won(2)
Model
65.2%
Book
47.6%
Over 1.5 totalBases
Jun 28 · projected 2.2
lost(0)
Model
65.8%
Book
43.5%
Over 1.5 totalBases
Jun 20 · projected 2.1
lost(0)
Model
64.9%
Book
44.4%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 18 · projected 0.6
won(1)
Model
97.2%
Book
55.6%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
May 18 · projected 0.9
won(1)
Model
90.6%
Book
70.6%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 17 · projected 0.9
lost(0)
Model
78.0%
Book
71.4%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 17 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
98.2%
Book
61.5%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 14 · projected 0.6
won(1)
Model
98.1%
Book
62.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 14 · projected 0.9
won(1)
Model
78.0%
Book
70.6%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 13 · projected 0.6
lost(4)
Model
98.1%
Book
54.5%
Under 1.5 mlbHits
May 13 · projected 0.9
won(1)
Model
85.0%
Book
70.6%
Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis
May 10 · projected 2.1
won(3)
Model
85.3%
Book
44.4%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

How has the model done on Drake Baldwin's props?

Across the last 20 graded model lines on Drake Baldwin, 12 won and 8 lost.

Every Drake Baldwin line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).