EdgeGoat
Elias Diaz
Texas Rangers · #35 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 67.9% | 56.5% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 83.4% | 78.9% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 17 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 94.7% | 84.0% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 17 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.4% | 54.5% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 15 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 81.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 73.3% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 8 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 68.2% | 50.0% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 5 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 62.4% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 15 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 63.5% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 14 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 63.5% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 8 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 61.3% | 55.6% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 19 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 63.5% | 59.2% | void(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 20 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 67.9%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 20 · projected 0.3void(0)
- Model
- 83.4%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 17 · projected 0.2void(0)
- Model
- 94.7%
- Book
- 84.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 17 · projected 1.0void(0)
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 15 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 73.3%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 8 · projected 0.9void(0)
- Model
- 68.2%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 5 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 62.4%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 15 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 14 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 8 · projected 1.5void(0)
- Model
- 61.3%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 19 · projected 1.1void(0)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 59.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Elias Diaz's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Elias Diaz, 2 won and 3 lost.
Every Elias Diaz line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).