EdgeGoat
Elly De La Cruz
Cincinnati Reds · #44 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.9% | 64.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 53.7% | 48.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 27 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 59.3% | 43.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 25 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 59.9% | 44.4% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 62.3% | 47.6% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 23 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 64.0% | 43.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 91.7% | 55.6% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 18 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 91.1% | 53.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 13 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.7% | 39.2% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 13 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 75.1% | 42.6% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 6 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.6% | 44.4% | won(4) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 28 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 80.6% | 63.6% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 74.4% | 52.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 24 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.6% | 45.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 11 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.9% | 44.4% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 5 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.5% | 46.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 25 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.2% | 43.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 81.7% | 69.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 25 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 53.1% | 41.7% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 22 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 82.1% | 71.4% | pending |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 27 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 53.7%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 27 · projected 2.0lost(1)
- Model
- 59.3%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 25 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 59.9%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 25 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 62.3%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 23 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 64.0%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 20 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 91.7%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 18 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 91.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 13 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 39.2%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 13 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 75.1%
- Book
- 42.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 6 · projected 2.1won(4)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 28 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 80.6%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 74.4%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 24 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 11 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 63.9%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 5 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 62.5%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 25 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 63.2%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 81.7%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 25 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 53.1%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 22 · projected 1.2pending
- Model
- 82.1%
- Book
- 71.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Elly De La Cruz's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Elly De La Cruz, 8 won and 11 lost.
Every Elly De La Cruz line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).