EdgeGoat
Esmerlyn Valdez
Pittsburgh Pirates · #55 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 29 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 40.3% | 40.0% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 28 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 61.7% | 53.5% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 79.1% | 55.6% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 61.1% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 23 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 69.0% | 57.4% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 3 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.7% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 29 · projected 1.9void(0)
- Model
- 40.3%
- Book
- 40.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 28 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 79.1%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 61.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 23 · projected 0.4pending
- Model
- 69.0%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 3 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 61.7%
- Book
- 60.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Esmerlyn Valdez's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Esmerlyn Valdez, 2 won and 2 lost.
Every Esmerlyn Valdez line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).