EdgeGoat
Ezequiel Tovar
Colorado Rockies · #14 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 62.2% | 54.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 26 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 56.8% | 55.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 56.3% | 52.4% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 83.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.1% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 22 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.1% | 55.6% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 20 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 81.8% | 70.6% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.6% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 19 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.6% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 70.2% | 57.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 12 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 66.9% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 28 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 66.2% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 26 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.0% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 80.4% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.0% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 75.5% | 54.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 14 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 66.6% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 11 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 68.0% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 10 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 68.0% | 57.4% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 10 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 63.7% | 58.3% | void(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 62.2%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 26 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 56.8%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 56.3%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 24 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 22 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 71.1%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 20 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 81.8%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 20 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 70.6%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 19 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 70.6%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 70.2%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 12 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 28 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 66.2%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 26 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.0%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 26 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 80.4%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 25 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 70.0%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 75.5%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 14 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 66.6%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 11 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 68.0%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 10 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 68.0%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 10 · projected 1.3void(0)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 58.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Ezequiel Tovar's props?
Across the last 17 graded model lines on Ezequiel Tovar, 12 won and 5 lost.
Every Ezequiel Tovar line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).