EdgeGoat
Francisco Alvarez
New York Mets · #4 · 187 games logged
H · last 200.9
HR · last 200.2
RBI · last 200.7
R · last 200.5
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | H | HR | RBI | R | TB | BB | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26 | @ WSH | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 25 | @ WSH | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 23 | @ TEX | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 22 | @ TEX | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 20 | vs PHI | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 19 | vs PHI | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 17 | vs PHI | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 15 | vs BAL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Sep 14 | vs BAL | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 13 | @ NYY | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 11 | @ NYY | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 8 | @ MIA | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 7 | @ MIA | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 5 | vs SF | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 4 | vs SF | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 0 | 0 |
| Sep 1 | @ TB | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 |
| Aug 31 | @ TB | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Aug 29 | vs HOU | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
| Aug 27 | vs MIL | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Aug 26 | vs MIL | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 81.2% | 66.7% |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 26 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 62.3% | 60.8% |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 25 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 62.7% | 57.4% |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 26 · projected 0.3
- Model
- 81.2%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 26 · projected 0.8
- Model
- 62.3%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 25 · projected 0.9
- Model
- 62.7%
- Book
- 57.4%
Frequently asked questions
What is Francisco Alvarez averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Francisco Alvarez is averaging 0.9 h, 0.2 hr, 0.7 rbi, 0.5 r.
How did Francisco Alvarez play in the last game?
On Saturday, September 26, 2026 at WSH, Francisco Alvarez recorded 0 h, 0 hr, 0 rbi, 1 r.
Every Francisco Alvarez line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).