EdgeGoat
Freddie Freeman
Los Angeles Dodgers · #5 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 74.4% | 60.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 27 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 57.8% | 57.4% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 16 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.7% | 66.7% | pending |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 31 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 70.9% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 26 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 73.9% | 73.3% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 74.0% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 74.0% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jul 6 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 71.8% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 94.6% | 56.5% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jul 6 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 71.6% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 1 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 84.1% | 53.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 26 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.2% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 27 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.7% | 44.4% | lost(3) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 27 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 80.8% | 73.3% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 25 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 80.8% | 71.4% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 rbis | May 14 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 99.1% | 99.0% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 runsScored | May 14 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 99.5% | 99.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 14 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 93.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 batterWalks | May 14 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 95.2% | 90.9% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 74.4%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 27 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 57.8%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 16 · projected 1.1pending
- Model
- 67.7%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 31 · projected 1.7won(1)
- Model
- 70.9%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 26 · projected 1.9won(2)
- Model
- 73.9%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.9lost(0)
- Model
- 74.0%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.9won(1)
- Model
- 74.0%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJul 6 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 94.6%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 2.5 hitsRunsRbisJul 6 · projected 1.8won(1)
- Model
- 71.6%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 1 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 84.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 26 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 68.2%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 27 · projected 0.6lost(3)
- Model
- 98.7%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 27 · projected 1.1lost(2)
- Model
- 80.8%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 25 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 80.8%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 2.5 rbisMay 14 · projected 0.5won(0)
- Model
- 99.1%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 2.5 runsScoredMay 14 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 99.5%
- Book
- 99.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 14 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 93.8%
- Under 1.5 batterWalksMay 14 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 95.2%
- Book
- 90.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Freddie Freeman's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Freddie Freeman, 15 won and 4 lost.
Every Freddie Freeman line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).