EdgeGoat
Freddy Fermin
San Diego Padres · #54 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 28 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 94.2% | 84.6% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jul 1 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 83.6% | 70.6% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 23 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.0% | 81.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 22 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.0% | 80.0% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 22 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 77.8% | 75.0% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 22 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 65.9% | 62.3% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 76.5% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 78.9% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Under 3.5 rbis | May 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 6 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 74.5% | 1.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 homeRuns | May 6 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 95.0% | 84.6% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 100.0% | 100.0% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 94.7% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 5 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 99.0% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 74.5% | 34.5% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 96.6% | 92.3% | void(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 28 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 94.2%
- Book
- 84.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJul 1 · projected 0.9won(0)
- Model
- 83.6%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 23 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.0%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 22 · projected 0.2void(0)
- Model
- 88.0%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 22 · projected 0.8void(0)
- Model
- 77.8%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 22 · projected 0.7void(0)
- Model
- 65.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 3.5 rbisMay 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 6 · projected 1.4lost(0)
- Model
- 74.5%
- Book
- 1.6%
- Under 1.5 homeRunsMay 6 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 6 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 95.0%
- Book
- 84.6%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.0void(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 94.7%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 5 · projected 0.0void(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.4void(0)
- Model
- 74.5%
- Book
- 34.5%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.3void(0)
- Model
- 96.6%
- Book
- 92.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Freddy Fermin's props?
Across the last 9 graded model lines on Freddy Fermin, 8 won and 1 lost.
Every Freddy Fermin line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).