EdgeGoat
Freddy Peralta
Tampa Bay Rays · #51 · 72 games logged
IP · last 204.8
K · last 204.3
HA · last 204.4
ER · last 202
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | IP | K | HA | ER | BBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19 | vs CLE | 5.1 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 3 |
| Oct 17 | @ CLE | 0.2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 |
| Oct 13 | vs CLE | 6 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Oct 5 | vs NYY | 4.2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 25 | @ PHI | 5.1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 19 | vs BOS | 5.2 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2 |
| Sep 13 | vs HOU | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 |
| Sep 8 | @ ATL | 6 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1 |
| Sep 1 | vs NYM | 6 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 |
| Aug 26 | @ DET | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Aug 21 | @ BAL | 7 | 6 | 7 | 5 | 1 |
| Aug 16 | vs BAL | 4.2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 |
| Aug 10 | @ ATH | 6 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 |
| Aug 4 | @ COL | 3.2 | 3 | 9 | 7 | 1 |
| Jul 26 | vs LAD | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 2 |
| Jul 20 | @ MIL | 5.1 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 2 |
| Jul 11 | vs BOS | 4.1 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 5 |
| Jul 6 | @ ATL | 4.2 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1 |
| Jul 1 | @ TOR | 4 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 3 |
| Jun 25 | vs CHC | 5.2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 Outs Recorded | Oct 26 · projected 13.4 | 13.4 | 51.7% | 44.4% |
| Under 2.5 Pitcher BB | Oct 26 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 68.2% | 66.1% |
| Over 0.5 Earned Runs | Oct 26 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 84.8% | 78.9% |
| Under 4.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 26 · projected 4.0 | 4.0 | 62.7% | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 Pitcher BB | Oct 19 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 85.1% | 81.0% |
| Over 1.5 Earned Runs | Oct 19 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 54.0% | 45.5% |
| Under 3.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 19 · projected 2.8 | 2.8 | 68.6% | 41.7% |
| Over 3.5 Hits Allowed | Oct 5 · projected 4.0 | 4.0 | 57.1% | 50.0% |
| Over 1.5 Earned Runs | Oct 5 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 59.0% | 51.2% |
| Under 5.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 5 · projected 4.6 | 4.6 | 69.3% | 64.9% |
| Over 3.5 Pitcher K's | Sep 25 · projected 4.9 | 4.9 | 88.4% | 69.7% |
- Under 14.5 Outs RecordedOct 26 · projected 13.4
- Model
- 51.7%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Under 2.5 Pitcher BBOct 26 · projected 2.0
- Model
- 68.2%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 Earned RunsOct 26 · projected 2.1
- Model
- 84.8%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 4.5 Pitcher K'sOct 26 · projected 4.0
- Model
- 62.7%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 2.5 Pitcher BBOct 19 · projected 1.4
- Model
- 85.1%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Over 1.5 Earned RunsOct 19 · projected 1.9
- Model
- 54.0%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Under 3.5 Pitcher K'sOct 19 · projected 2.8
- Model
- 68.6%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Over 3.5 Hits AllowedOct 5 · projected 4.0
- Model
- 57.1%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 1.5 Earned RunsOct 5 · projected 2.3
- Model
- 59.0%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 5.5 Pitcher K'sOct 5 · projected 4.6
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 3.5 Pitcher K'sSep 25 · projected 4.9
- Model
- 88.4%
- Book
- 69.7%
Frequently asked questions
What is Freddy Peralta averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Freddy Peralta is averaging 4.8 ip, 4.3 k, 4.4 ha, 2 er.
How did Freddy Peralta play in the last game?
On Monday, October 19, 2026 vs CLE, Freddy Peralta recorded 5.1 ip, 3 k, 5 ha, 1 er.
Every Freddy Peralta line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).