EdgeGoat
Gavin Sheets
San Diego Padres · #30 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 12 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.9% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 10 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 65.4% | 54.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 9 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 65.4% | 57.4% | won(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 28 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 61.4% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 94.3% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 20 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.6% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.4% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | May 26 · projected 2.4 | 2.4 | 88.4% | 40.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 26 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 71.2% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 23 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 64.9% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 22 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 64.9% | 59.2% | lost(3) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 72.2% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 75.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 67.7% | lost(5) |
| Under 3.5 rbis | May 6 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(1) |
| Under 2.5 runsScored | May 6 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 6 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 18.9% | 3.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 6 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 72.0% | 3.8% | won(3) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 89.5% | lost(2) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 12 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 63.9%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 10 · projected 1.8lost(0)
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 9 · projected 1.8won(4)
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 28 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 94.3%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 20 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 63.4%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesMay 26 · projected 2.4lost(1)
- Model
- 88.4%
- Book
- 40.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 26 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 71.2%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 23 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 22 · projected 0.7lost(3)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(5)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 3.5 rbisMay 6 · projected 0.4won(1)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 2.5 runsScoredMay 6 · projected 0.5won(1)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 6 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 18.9%
- Book
- 3.2%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 6 · projected 1.8won(3)
- Model
- 72.0%
- Book
- 3.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 89.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Gavin Sheets's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Gavin Sheets, 11 won and 9 lost.
Every Gavin Sheets line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).