EdgeGoat
Gavin Williams
Cleveland Guardians · #32 · 67 games logged
IP · last 205.1
K · last 208.5
HA · last 203.8
ER · last 202
Recent game log
| Date | Opp | IP | K | HA | ER | BBA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | vs CHW | 5.2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 2 |
| Oct 8 | @ CHW | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Oct 5 | vs CHW | 5 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Sep 25 | @ KC | 3.1 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 4 |
| Sep 20 | vs ATH | 7 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 1 |
| Sep 14 | vs CHW | 5 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Sep 6 | vs DET | 6 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Sep 1 | vs TOR | 7 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 |
| Aug 25 | @ LAA | 1.1 | 3 | 6 | 5 | 1 |
| Aug 20 | vs SF | 5.2 | 11 | 4 | 2 | 3 |
| Aug 14 | vs SD | 4.1 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 4 |
| Aug 8 | @ CHW | 5.2 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 |
| Aug 2 | vs ARI | 5.2 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 |
| Jul 28 | @ CIN | 7 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Jul 23 | vs MIN | 7 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Jul 18 | vs PIT | 6 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 0 |
| Jul 9 | @ MIN | 7 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 1 |
| Jul 3 | vs CHW | 4.2 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 2 |
| Jun 28 | vs SEA | 5 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 3 |
| Jun 22 | @ CHW | 5 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 |
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game: the model's probability next to the break-even rate of the price.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 16.5 Outs Recorded | Oct 15 · projected 14.9 | 14.9 | 64.1% | 56.5% |
| Over 1.5 Pitcher BB | Oct 15 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 61.4% | 53.5% |
| Over 3.5 Hits Allowed | Oct 15 · projected 4.4 | 4.4 | 64.2% | 61.5% |
| Over 1.5 Earned Runs | Oct 15 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 56.9% | 50.0% |
| Under 7.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 15 · projected 6.0 | 6.0 | 73.7% | 72.2% |
| Under 14.5 Outs Recorded | Oct 10 · projected 6.5 | 6.5 | 94.6% | 52.4% |
| Under 2.5 Pitcher BB | Oct 10 · projected 1.4 | 1.4 | 85.6% | 73.3% |
| Under 3.5 Hits Allowed | Oct 10 · projected 2.3 | 2.3 | 76.4% | 63.6% |
| Under 3.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 10 · projected 2.9 | 2.9 | 65.9% | 12.5% |
| Under 7.5 Pitcher K's | Oct 5 · projected 6.6 | 6.6 | 65.2% | 53.5% |
- Under 16.5 Outs RecordedOct 15 · projected 14.9
- Model
- 64.1%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 1.5 Pitcher BBOct 15 · projected 2.0
- Model
- 61.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 3.5 Hits AllowedOct 15 · projected 4.4
- Model
- 64.2%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 1.5 Earned RunsOct 15 · projected 2.0
- Model
- 56.9%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 7.5 Pitcher K'sOct 15 · projected 6.0
- Model
- 73.7%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 14.5 Outs RecordedOct 10 · projected 6.5
- Model
- 94.6%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 2.5 Pitcher BBOct 10 · projected 1.4
- Model
- 85.6%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 3.5 Hits AllowedOct 10 · projected 2.3
- Model
- 76.4%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 3.5 Pitcher K'sOct 10 · projected 2.9
- Model
- 65.9%
- Book
- 12.5%
- Under 7.5 Pitcher K'sOct 5 · projected 6.6
- Model
- 65.2%
- Book
- 53.5%
Frequently asked questions
What is Gavin Williams averaging over the last 20 games?
Across the last 20 logged games, Gavin Williams is averaging 5.1 ip, 8.5 k, 3.8 ha, 2 er.
How did Gavin Williams play in the last game?
On Saturday, October 10, 2026 vs CHW, Gavin Williams recorded 5.2 ip, 12 k, 1 ha, 0 er.
Every Gavin Williams line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).