EdgeGoat
Harrison Bader
San Francisco Giants · #9 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 86.5% | 72.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 26 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 81.0% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 2.5 rbis | May 17 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 99.9% | 99.0% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 17 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 90.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 2.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 99.4% | 81.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 homeRuns | May 17 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 99.3% | won(1) |
| Under 5.5 totalBases | May 17 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 100.0% | 81.0% | won(4) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 17 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 94.7% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | May 17 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 96.2% | lost(1) |
| Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 17 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 99.9% | 80.0% | lost(7) |
| Under 3.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 14 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 98.4% | 52.4% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | May 14 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 93.3% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 89.0% | 73.3% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 homeRuns | May 14 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 99.3% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 rbis | May 14 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 99.4% | 64.9% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 14 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 99.9% | 87.5% | void(0) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 14 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 93.8% | void(0) |
| Under 4.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 100.0% | 73.3% | void(0) |
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 86.5%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 26 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 81.0%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 2.5 rbisMay 17 · projected 0.3lost(4)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 99.0%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 17 · projected 0.3lost(2)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 90.5%
- Under 2.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 99.4%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Under 1.5 homeRunsMay 17 · projected 0.1won(1)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 99.3%
- Under 5.5 totalBasesMay 17 · projected 0.6won(4)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 17 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 94.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksMay 17 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 96.2%
- Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 17 · projected 1.2lost(7)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Under 3.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 14 · projected 1.1void(0)
- Model
- 98.4%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksMay 14 · projected 0.2void(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 93.3%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.5void(0)
- Model
- 89.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 homeRunsMay 14 · projected 0.1void(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 99.3%
- Under 1.5 rbisMay 14 · projected 0.3void(0)
- Model
- 99.4%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 14 · projected 0.3void(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 87.5%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 14 · projected 0.0void(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 93.8%
- Under 4.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6void(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Harrison Bader's props?
Across the last 10 graded model lines on Harrison Bader, 5 won and 5 lost.
Every Harrison Bader line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).