EdgeGoat
Ian Happ
Chicago Cubs · #8 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 46.0% | 43.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 60.3% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 59.1% | 57.4% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 22 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 86.2% | 58.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 18 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 60.9% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 8 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 71.2% | 69.2% | won(4) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 2 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 70.4% | 58.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 27 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 71.3% | 69.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 20 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 69.9% | 66.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 69.9% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 19 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 80.6% | 50.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 26 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 70.1% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 12 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 62.8% | 60.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 22 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 60.3% | 52.4% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 18 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 60.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 18 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 79.1% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 62.3% | lost(5) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 66.7% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 8 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 71.4% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 8 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.0% | 64.9% | pending |
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 46.0%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 60.3%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 59.1%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 22 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 86.2%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 18 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 60.9%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 8 · projected 1.8won(4)
- Model
- 71.2%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 2 · projected 1.8lost(0)
- Model
- 70.4%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 27 · projected 1.8lost(0)
- Model
- 71.3%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 20 · projected 1.7lost(0)
- Model
- 69.9%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.7lost(0)
- Model
- 69.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksJul 19 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 80.6%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 26 · projected 1.7lost(0)
- Model
- 70.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 12 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 62.8%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 22 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 60.3%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 18 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 18 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 79.1%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6lost(5)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 8 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 71.4%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 8 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 96.0%
- Book
- 64.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Ian Happ's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Ian Happ, 9 won and 10 lost.
Every Ian Happ line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).