EdgeGoat
Isaac Collins
Kansas City Royals · #1 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.9% | 66.1% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 84.6% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 57.7% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 30 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 56.8% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 70.8% | 66.7% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 67.4% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 18 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 60.6% | 58.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 60.7% | 58.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 7 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 60.1% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 75.0% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 6 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 60.4% | 54.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.8% | 96.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 81.0% | lost(3) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 86.1% | 54.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 5 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 92.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 82.6% | 73.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 60.4% | 50.0% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 86.9%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 84.6%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 57.7%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 30 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 56.8%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 70.8%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 67.4%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 18 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 60.6%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 60.7%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 7 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 60.1%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 6 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 60.4%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1lost(1)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 96.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6lost(3)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 86.1%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 5 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 92.3%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.5won(1)
- Model
- 82.6%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 60.4%
- Book
- 50.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Isaac Collins's props?
Across the last 17 graded model lines on Isaac Collins, 7 won and 10 lost.
Every Isaac Collins line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).