EdgeGoat
Jake Bauers
Milwaukee Brewers · #9 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 58.0% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 59.5% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 58.0% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 24 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.8% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 68.5% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 68.9% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 68.5% | 65.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 31 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 75.4% | 53.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 72.6% | 60.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 31 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.4% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 6 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.3% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Jul 6 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 68.1% | 44.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 12 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.5% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.4% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.9% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 66.1% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 56.7% | 56.5% | pending |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 61.1% | 41.7% | pending |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 77.8% | pending |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 92.8% | 75.0% | pending |
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 58.0%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 59.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 58.0%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 24 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 65.8%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 13 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 68.5%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 12 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 68.9%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 5 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 68.5%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 31 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 75.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 72.6%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 31 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 6 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 65.3%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredJul 6 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 68.1%
- Book
- 44.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 12 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.5%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.8pending
- Model
- 56.7%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.9pending
- Model
- 61.1%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6pending
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksMay 5 · projected 0.3pending
- Model
- 92.8%
- Book
- 75.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Jake Bauers's props?
Across the last 16 graded model lines on Jake Bauers, 8 won and 8 lost.
Every Jake Bauers line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).