EdgeGoat
Jake Burger
Texas Rangers · #21 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 23 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 67.2% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 66.1% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 20 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 70.3% | 63.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 69.8% | 63.6% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 17 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 73.3% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 17 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 69.3% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 15 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 67.7% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.7% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 13 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.7% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 5 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 66.8% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 97.5% | 81.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.7% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 78.4% | 67.7% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 20 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 69.8% | 66.7% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 80.7% | 63.6% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 28 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 66.5% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.8 | 1.8 | 70.0% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 66.7% | 64.3% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 23 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 67.2%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 20 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 20 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 70.3%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 69.8%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 17 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 17 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 15 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 13 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 70.7%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 13 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 12 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.7%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 5 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 66.8%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.1lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.7%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 78.4%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 20 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 69.8%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 20 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 80.7%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 28 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.0%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 29 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 66.7%
- Book
- 64.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Jake Burger's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Jake Burger, 11 won and 9 lost.
Every Jake Burger line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).