EdgeGoat
Jake Cronenworth
San Diego Padres · #9 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jake Cronenworth | Over 0.5 HitsCHC @ SD | 54.8% | 54.5%−120 | +0.2% |
- Over 0.5 HitsCHC @ SD+0.2%
- Model
- 54.8%
- Book
- 54.5%−120
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.1% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 29 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 58.7% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.3% | 77.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.5% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 26 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 60.3% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 93.5% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 Hits | Sep 25 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 74.2% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 8 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 81.5% | 61.5% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 28 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 80.2% | 76.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 80.6% | 66.1% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.5% | 64.9% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jul 6 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 74.6% | 67.7% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Jul 6 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 73.6% | 60.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 93.1% | 65.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jul 1 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 77.2% | 65.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 3.5 rbis | May 6 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 100.0% | 100.0% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 6 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 73.7% | 1.3% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 homeRuns | May 6 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 73.7% | 35.7% | void(0) |
| Under 1.5 homeRuns | May 5 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | void(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 87.1%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 29 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 58.7%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 87.3%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 87.5%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 26 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 60.3%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 93.5%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Over 0.5 HitsSep 25 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 74.2%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 8 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 81.5%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 28 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 80.2%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 80.6%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJul 6 · projected 1.0lost(2)
- Model
- 74.6%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredJul 6 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 73.6%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 93.1%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJul 1 · projected 0.9lost(2)
- Model
- 77.2%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 3.5 rbisMay 6 · projected 0.2void(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 6 · projected 1.2void(0)
- Model
- 73.7%
- Book
- 1.3%
- Under 1.5 homeRunsMay 6 · projected 0.1void(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.2void(0)
- Model
- 73.7%
- Book
- 35.7%
- Under 1.5 homeRunsMay 5 · projected 0.1void(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Jake Cronenworth today?
The strongest current line: Jake Cronenworth over 0.5 hits (−120): model 54.8% vs book 54.5%, an edge of +0.2%.
How has the model done on Jake Cronenworth's props?
Across the last 15 graded model lines on Jake Cronenworth, 11 won and 4 lost.
Every Jake Cronenworth line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).