EdgeGoat
Jake McCarthy
Colorado Rockies · #31 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.3% | 83.3% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.9% | 82.6% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 71.4% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 84.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 20 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 68.3% | 54.5% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 19 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 68.3% | 53.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 60.9% | 57.4% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 24 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 81.1% | 64.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 6 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.2% | 64.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jul 1 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 75.0% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 20 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 77.3% | 66.1% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 71.7% | 70.6% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Jun 2 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 69.8% | 63.6% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 1 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.8% | 64.9% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 30 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 68.1% | 54.5% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 30 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 71.8% | 69.2% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.9% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 23 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 70.7% | 50.0% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 19 · projected 2.4 | 2.4 | 73.4% | 52.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 rbis | May 19 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 35.6% | 33.9% | lost(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.3%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 88.9%
- Book
- 82.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 71.4%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 84.0%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 20 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 68.3%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 19 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 68.3%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 26 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 60.9%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 24 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 81.1%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 6 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 67.2%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJul 1 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 75.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 20 · projected 1.1lost(4)
- Model
- 77.3%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 1.1lost(2)
- Model
- 71.7%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredJun 2 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 69.8%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 1 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 65.8%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 30 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 68.1%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 30 · projected 1.0lost(2)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 27 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 87.9%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 23 · projected 0.7won(0)
- Model
- 70.7%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 19 · projected 2.4lost(0)
- Model
- 73.4%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 rbisMay 19 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 35.6%
- Book
- 33.9%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Jake McCarthy's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Jake McCarthy, 9 won and 11 lost.
Every Jake McCarthy line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).