EdgeGoat
Jared Serna
Miami Marlins · #68 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 87.4% | 82.6% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 89.4% | 83.3% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 11 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 55.9% | 44.4% | lost(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 87.4%
- Book
- 82.6%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 89.4%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 11 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 55.9%
- Book
- 44.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Jared Serna's props?
Across the last 3 graded model lines on Jared Serna, 0 won and 3 lost.
Every Jared Serna line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).