EdgeGoat
Jared Triolo
Pittsburgh Pirates · #19 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 63.6% | 51.2% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 75.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 16 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.1% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 4 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 68.4% | 52.4% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 3 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 69.0% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 2 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 69.3% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 97.7% | 65.5% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 14 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 68.4% | 55.6% | won(0) |
| Under 3.5 runsScored | May 7 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 99.1% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | May 7 · projected 0.0 | 0.0 | 99.9% | 91.7% | won(0) |
| Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 7 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 99.8% | 98.9% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 homeRuns | May 7 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 100.0% | 100.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 7 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 96.9% | 92.3% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 95.4% | 69.2% | won(0) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 16 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 67.1%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 4 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 68.4%
- Book
- 52.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 3 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 69.0%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 2 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 69.3%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.7lost(2)
- Model
- 97.7%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 14 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 68.4%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 3.5 runsScoredMay 7 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 2.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 99.1%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesMay 7 · projected 0.0won(0)
- Model
- 99.9%
- Book
- 91.7%
- Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 7 · projected 1.3won(0)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 98.9%
- Under 2.5 homeRunsMay 7 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 100.0%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 7 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 92.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.8won(0)
- Model
- 95.4%
- Book
- 69.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Jared Triolo's props?
Across the last 15 graded model lines on Jared Triolo, 10 won and 5 lost.
Every Jared Triolo line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).