EdgeGoat
Javier Baez
Detroit Tigers · #28 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 89.2% | 80.0% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 70.8% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 88.2% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 15 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 68.4% | 66.1% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 11 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 68.0% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 7 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 69.7% | 64.9% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 4 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 69.1% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 89.2%
- Book
- 80.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 70.8%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 88.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 15 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 68.4%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 11 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 68.0%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 7 · projected 1.7lost(0)
- Model
- 69.7%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 4 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 69.1%
- Book
- 61.5%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Javier Baez's props?
Across the last 7 graded model lines on Javier Baez, 4 won and 3 lost.
Every Javier Baez line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).