EdgeGoat
Jeremy Pena
Houston Astros · #3 · 0 games logged
Model vs book today
Current lines the model prices for this player — including ones where the book's price is better than the model's number.
| Player | Line | Model | Book | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Jeremy Pena | Under 0.5 Batter BBCHW @ HOU | 78.0% | 76.5%−325 | +1.5% |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBCHW @ HOU+1.5%
- Model
- 78.0%
- Book
- 76.5%−325
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 29 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.4% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 88.6% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Sep 26 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 87.9% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 29 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 72.8% | 69.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Aug 26 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 62.5% | 50.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 Batter BB | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 67.7% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 3 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 72.9% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.5% | 65.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 27 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 97.7% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 26 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 78.7% | 69.2% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 29 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.4%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 88.6%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBSep 26 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 87.9%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 29 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 72.8%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 0.5 runsScoredAug 26 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 62.5%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Under 0.5 Batter BBAug 20 · projected 0.2void(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 3 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 72.9%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 67.5%
- Book
- 65.5%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 27 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 97.7%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 26 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 78.7%
- Book
- 69.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
What does the EdgeGoat model say about Jeremy Pena today?
The strongest current line: Jeremy Pena under 0.5 batter bb (−325): model 78.0% vs book 76.5%, an edge of +1.5%.
How has the model done on Jeremy Pena's props?
Across the last 9 graded model lines on Jeremy Pena, 8 won and 1 lost.
Every Jeremy Pena line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).