EdgeGoat
JJ Bleday
Cincinnati Reds · #22 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 27 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 48.7% | 42.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 23 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.3% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 23 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 63.4% | 30.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 65.2% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 13 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 62.9% | 30.3% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 13 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.0% | 54.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 13 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 66.9% | 33.9% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 9 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 64.9% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 5 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.3% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 28 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 65.9% | 57.4% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 25 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 56.0% | 41.7% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.1% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 24 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.4% | 35.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 66.7% | 41.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 11 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.4% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 11 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.5% | 38.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Aug 5 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 60.1% | 42.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 4 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 68.8% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 1 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 67.2% | 64.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 25 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 61.5% | 44.4% | lost(1) |
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 27 · projected 0.6lost(0)
- Model
- 48.7%
- Book
- 42.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 23 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.3%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 23 · projected 2.2lost(0)
- Model
- 63.4%
- Book
- 30.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 20 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 65.2%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 13 · projected 2.2lost(1)
- Model
- 62.9%
- Book
- 30.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 13 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 65.0%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 13 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 66.9%
- Book
- 33.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 9 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 5 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.3%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 28 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 65.9%
- Book
- 57.4%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 25 · projected 1.9lost(1)
- Model
- 56.0%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 24 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 62.4%
- Book
- 35.7%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 66.7%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 11 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.4%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 11 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 62.5%
- Book
- 38.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesAug 5 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 60.1%
- Book
- 42.6%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksAug 4 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 68.8%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 1 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 67.2%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 25 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 61.5%
- Book
- 44.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on JJ Bleday's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on JJ Bleday, 6 won and 14 lost.
Every JJ Bleday line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).