EdgeGoat
Joe Mack
Miami Marlins · #80 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 81.8% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 23 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 52.5% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 18 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 60.2% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 53.4% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 9 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.0% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 5 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.7% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 4 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.5% | 60.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 7 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.0% | 56.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 26 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.5% | 59.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 20 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.5% | 56.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 19 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.5% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | Jun 19 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 79.7% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 62.7% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 31 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.7% | 55.6% | void(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 29 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 66.8% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 19 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 97.7% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 95.4% | 69.7% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 23 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 52.5%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 18 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 60.2%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 12 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 53.4%
- Book
- 51.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 9 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.0%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 5 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.7%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 4 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.5%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 7 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.0%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 26 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 65.5%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 20 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.5%
- Book
- 56.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 19 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 63.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 0.5 rbisJun 19 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 79.7%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 62.7%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 31 · projected 1.0void(0)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 29 · projected 1.2won(1)
- Model
- 66.8%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 19 · projected 0.7won(0)
- Model
- 97.7%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 95.4%
- Book
- 69.7%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Joe Mack's props?
Across the last 16 graded model lines on Joe Mack, 6 won and 10 lost.
Every Joe Mack line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).