EdgeGoat
Jonathan Aranda
Tampa Bay Rays · #8 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 75.2% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 62.6% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 69.2% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | Aug 20 · projected 0.5 | 0.5 | 97.5% | 96.8% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Aug 9 · projected 1.6 | 1.6 | 69.0% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 72.4% | 36.4% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | Jul 1 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.8% | 67.7% | lost(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 22 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 62.8% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 16 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 76.0% | 72.2% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 59.2% | lost(2) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.2% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 13 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 75.8% | 66.1% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 9 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 76.0% | 63.0% | pending |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 6 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 75.8% | 66.1% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 66.7% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 99.8% | 83.3% | lost(3) |
| Under 3.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 1.7 | 1.7 | 87.8% | 78.9% | won(3) |
| Under 2.5 mlbHits | May 5 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 92.9% | 83.3% | won(2) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 75.2%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 69.2%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredAug 20 · projected 0.5won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 96.8%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesAug 9 · projected 1.6won(1)
- Model
- 69.0%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.6lost(0)
- Model
- 72.4%
- Book
- 36.4%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsJul 1 · projected 0.8lost(2)
- Model
- 70.8%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 22 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 62.8%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 16 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 76.0%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(2)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.2%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 13 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 75.8%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 9 · projected 0.7pending
- Model
- 76.0%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 6 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 75.8%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 2.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6lost(3)
- Model
- 99.8%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Under 3.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 1.7won(3)
- Model
- 87.8%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 2.5 mlbHitsMay 5 · projected 0.7won(2)
- Model
- 92.9%
- Book
- 83.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Jonathan Aranda's props?
Across the last 17 graded model lines on Jonathan Aranda, 12 won and 5 lost.
Every Jonathan Aranda line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).