EdgeGoat
Jorge Mateo
Tampa Bay Rays · #9 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 90.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 84.6% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 stolenBases | Aug 20 · projected 0.1 | 0.1 | 99.4% | 85.7% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 20 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 86.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 96.9% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 5 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 69.4% | 59.2% | lost(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 90.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 84.6%
- Under 0.5 stolenBasesAug 20 · projected 0.1won(0)
- Model
- 99.4%
- Book
- 85.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 20 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 86.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 96.9%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 5 · projected 2.2lost(0)
- Model
- 69.4%
- Book
- 59.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Jorge Mateo's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on Jorge Mateo, 4 won and 2 lost.
Every Jorge Mateo line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).