EdgeGoat
Jose Fermin
St. Louis Cardinals · #15 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 89.0% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 73.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 12 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.0% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 6 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 65.0% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 3 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 71.6% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 runsScored | May 14 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 100.0% | 84.0% | won(0) |
| Under 2.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 99.2% | 90.5% | won(0) |
| Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 14 · projected 1.5 | 1.5 | 94.0% | 54.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 14 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 87.5% | 66.1% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 89.0%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 12 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 65.0%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 6 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 65.0%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 3 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 71.6%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Under 1.5 runsScoredMay 14 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 100.0%
- Book
- 84.0%
- Under 2.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 99.2%
- Book
- 90.5%
- Under 4.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 14 · projected 1.5won(0)
- Model
- 94.0%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 14 · projected 0.7won(0)
- Model
- 87.5%
- Book
- 66.1%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Jose Fermin's props?
Across the last 9 graded model lines on Jose Fermin, 8 won and 1 lost.
Every Jose Fermin line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).