EdgeGoat
Josh Smith
Toronto Blue Jays · #9 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.6% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 20 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 51.8% | 51.2% | lost(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.6%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 20 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 51.8%
- Book
- 51.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Josh Smith's props?
Across the last 2 graded model lines on Josh Smith, 1 won and 1 lost.
Every Josh Smith line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).