EdgeGoat
J.P. Crawford
Seattle Mariners · #3 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 23 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 73.1% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 22 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 73.1% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 20 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 71.3% | 48.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 18 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 71.2% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 13 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 66.5% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 12 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 66.5% | 53.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 60.2% | 59.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Jun 27 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 66.0% | 50.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 18 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 64.9% | 64.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 1 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 65.6% | 64.3% | lost(0) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 25 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 77.1% | 70.6% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 16 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.2% | 73.3% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 71.4% | lost(4) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 12 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 73.3% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.0% | 70.6% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 6 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 68.8% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 5 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 67.7% | lost(4) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 5 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 97.1% | 77.8% | lost(2) |
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 23 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 73.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 22 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 73.1%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 20 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 71.3%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 18 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 71.2%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 13 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 12 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 66.5%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 60.2%
- Book
- 59.2%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksJun 27 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 66.0%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 18 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 64.9%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 1 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 65.6%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 25 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 77.1%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 16 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 98.2%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 12 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.0%
- Book
- 70.6%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 6 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 5 · projected 0.6lost(4)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 5 · projected 0.3lost(2)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 77.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on J.P. Crawford's props?
Across the last 18 graded model lines on J.P. Crawford, 7 won and 11 lost.
Every J.P. Crawford line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).