EdgeGoat
Juan Soto
New York Mets · #22 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 55.8% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 24 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.3% | 47.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 23 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 63.3% | 43.5% | won(4) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 18 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 71.8% | 48.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 17 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.0% | 46.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 11 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.9% | 46.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 6 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 76.9% | 54.5% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 6 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.1% | 45.5% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 20 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 66.8% | 53.5% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.6% | 48.8% | won(2) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 6 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.4% | 47.6% | won(4) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Jul 6 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 67.2% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Jun 28 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 78.3% | 48.8% | won(1) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 18 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.5% | 50.0% | won(4) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 6 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 72.6% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 72.6% | 68.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 5 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.6% | 45.5% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 homeRuns | Jun 2 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 83.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 1 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 72.7% | 67.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 1 · projected 2.1 | 2.1 | 62.7% | 44.4% | lost(0) |
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 55.8%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 24 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 63.3%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 23 · projected 2.1won(4)
- Model
- 63.3%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 18 · projected 0.7lost(0)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 17 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 62.0%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 11 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 62.9%
- Book
- 46.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 6 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 76.9%
- Book
- 54.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 6 · projected 2.1lost(1)
- Model
- 62.1%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksJul 20 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 66.8%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 2.1won(2)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 6 · projected 2.1won(4)
- Model
- 62.4%
- Book
- 47.6%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksJul 6 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 67.2%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksJun 28 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 78.3%
- Book
- 48.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 18 · projected 2.1won(4)
- Model
- 62.5%
- Book
- 50.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 6 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 72.6%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 72.6%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 5 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 62.6%
- Book
- 45.5%
- Under 0.5 homeRunsJun 2 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 83.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 1 · projected 1.3lost(0)
- Model
- 72.7%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 1 · projected 2.1lost(0)
- Model
- 62.7%
- Book
- 44.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Juan Soto's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Juan Soto, 9 won and 11 lost.
Every Juan Soto line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).