EdgeGoat
Kyle Karros
Colorado Rockies · #12 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 runsScored | Sep 27 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 48.8% | 39.2% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 27 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 63.6% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.6% | 68.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 15 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.8% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 12 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 68.4% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 11 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.3% | 69.7% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 10 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 70.2% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 7 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 64.4% | 64.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 28 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.3% | 58.3% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | Jul 6 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 77.0% | 75.0% | lost(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 20 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 84.1% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 5 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 74.8% | 67.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | Jun 3 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 80.8% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 31 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 73.9% | 66.1% | lost(2) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 30 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 75.0% | 73.3% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | May 27 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 82.4% | 78.9% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 92.6% | 86.7% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 23 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 64.6% | 61.5% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 rbis | May 23 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 77.7% | 76.5% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | May 19 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 63.7% | 51.2% | void(0) |
- Over 0.5 runsScoredSep 27 · projected 0.6lost(0)
- Model
- 48.8%
- Book
- 39.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 27 · projected 0.9won(1)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 24 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 71.6%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 15 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 12 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 68.4%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 11 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 70.3%
- Book
- 69.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 10 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 70.2%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 7 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 64.4%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 28 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 71.3%
- Book
- 58.3%
- Under 0.5 rbisJul 6 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 77.0%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 20 · projected 0.9won(0)
- Model
- 84.1%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 5 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 74.8%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesJun 3 · projected 0.9won(0)
- Model
- 80.8%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 31 · projected 1.1lost(2)
- Model
- 73.9%
- Book
- 66.1%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 30 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 75.0%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredMay 27 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 82.4%
- Book
- 78.9%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 27 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 92.6%
- Book
- 86.7%
- Under 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 23 · projected 0.7won(0)
- Model
- 64.6%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Under 0.5 rbisMay 23 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 77.7%
- Book
- 76.5%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisMay 19 · projected 1.9void(0)
- Model
- 63.7%
- Book
- 51.2%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Kyle Karros's props?
Across the last 19 graded model lines on Kyle Karros, 12 won and 7 lost.
Every Kyle Karros line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).