EdgeGoat
Lars Nootbaar
Arizona Diamondbacks · #21 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 26 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 65.6% | 62.3% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 18 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 56.3% | 41.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 18 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.3% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 43.0% | 38.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 13 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 56.2% | 43.5% | won(2) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 6 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 66.2% | 63.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 2.5 totalBases | Aug 27 · projected 1.3 | 1.3 | 85.1% | 81.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 24 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 69.6% | 68.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 31 · projected 0.9 | 0.9 | 66.8% | 55.6% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Jul 28 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 80.9% | 63.0% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 69.4% | 61.5% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 1 · projected 1.2 | 1.2 | 69.6% | 64.9% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jul 1 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 56.2% | 41.7% | lost(0) |
| Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbis | Jun 21 · projected 1.9 | 1.9 | 56.4% | 53.5% | won(2) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Jun 17 · projected 2.2 | 2.2 | 56.7% | 42.6% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 15 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 67.9% | 62.3% | won(1) |
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 26 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 65.6%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 18 · projected 1.9lost(0)
- Model
- 56.3%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 18 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 67.3%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Over 0.5 batterWalksSep 13 · projected 0.6lost(0)
- Model
- 43.0%
- Book
- 38.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 13 · projected 1.9won(2)
- Model
- 56.2%
- Book
- 43.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 6 · projected 1.1lost(0)
- Model
- 66.2%
- Book
- 63.6%
- Under 2.5 totalBasesAug 27 · projected 1.3won(1)
- Model
- 85.1%
- Book
- 81.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 24 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 69.6%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 31 · projected 0.9lost(0)
- Model
- 66.8%
- Book
- 55.6%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredJul 28 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 80.9%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 25 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 69.4%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 1 · projected 1.2lost(0)
- Model
- 69.6%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJul 1 · projected 2.0lost(0)
- Model
- 56.2%
- Book
- 41.7%
- Over 1.5 hitsRunsRbisJun 21 · projected 1.9won(2)
- Model
- 56.4%
- Book
- 53.5%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesJun 17 · projected 2.2lost(1)
- Model
- 56.7%
- Book
- 42.6%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 15 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 67.9%
- Book
- 62.3%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Lars Nootbaar's props?
Across the last 16 graded model lines on Lars Nootbaar, 4 won and 12 lost.
Every Lars Nootbaar line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).