EdgeGoat
Leo Bernal
St. Louis Cardinals · #13 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 87.6% | 77.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 85.1% | 75.0% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 77.8% | won(0) |
| Over 1.5 totalBases | Sep 23 · projected 2.0 | 2.0 | 60.6% | 37.7% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 16 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 93.4% | 70.6% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 87.6%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 85.1%
- Book
- 75.0%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.2won(0)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 77.8%
- Over 1.5 totalBasesSep 23 · projected 2.0lost(1)
- Model
- 60.6%
- Book
- 37.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 16 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 93.4%
- Book
- 70.6%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Leo Bernal's props?
Across the last 5 graded model lines on Leo Bernal, 3 won and 2 lost.
Every Leo Bernal line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).