EdgeGoat
Lucas Spence
Houston Astros · #28 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 29 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 76.2% | 67.7% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 27 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.8% | 66.7% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.4% | 68.8% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 93.2% | 75.0% | won(0) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 29 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 76.2%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 27 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 86.8%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3lost(1)
- Model
- 86.4%
- Book
- 68.8%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 93.2%
- Book
- 75.0%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Lucas Spence's props?
Across the last 4 graded model lines on Lucas Spence, 2 won and 2 lost.
Every Lucas Spence line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).