EdgeGoat
Luis Lara
Milwaukee Brewers · #18 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 26 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 86.6% | 69.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 25 · projected 0.2 | 0.2 | 97.5% | 73.3% | lost(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Sep 25 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.7% | 63.0% | lost(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 25 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 67.8% | 66.7% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Sep 18 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 71.2% | 64.3% | lost(1) |
| Under 0.5 runsScored | Aug 20 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 75.7% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 16 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 66.6% | 60.8% | pending |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 26 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 86.6%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 25 · projected 0.2lost(1)
- Model
- 97.5%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsSep 25 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 71.7%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 25 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 67.8%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredSep 18 · projected 0.4lost(1)
- Model
- 71.2%
- Book
- 64.3%
- Under 0.5 runsScoredAug 20 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 75.7%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 16 · projected 0.8pending
- Model
- 66.6%
- Book
- 60.8%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Luis Lara's props?
Across the last 6 graded model lines on Luis Lara, 3 won and 3 lost.
Every Luis Lara line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).