EdgeGoat
Luke Keaschall
Minnesota Twins · #15 · 0 games logged
Projection vs line history
Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.
| Line | Date | Projection | Model | Book | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Sep 13 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 71.5% | 67.7% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 28 · projected 0.3 | 0.3 | 81.3% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Under 0.5 batterWalks | Aug 24 · projected 0.4 | 0.4 | 71.8% | 62.3% | won(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Aug 15 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.6% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 19 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.0% | 61.5% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 totalBases | Jul 19 · projected 1.1 | 1.1 | 63.6% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jul 1 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.1% | 62.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 29 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 64.2% | 60.8% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 28 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.2% | 64.9% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 15 · projected 1.0 | 1.0 | 63.4% | 60.0% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 6 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.8% | 60.8% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | Jun 5 · projected 0.8 | 0.8 | 71.8% | 64.9% | lost(0) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 18 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 77.9% | 69.2% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 17 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 77.9% | 63.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 14 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 66.7% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 13 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 98.3% | 71.4% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 9 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 72.2% | won(0) |
| Under 1.5 totalBases | May 7 · projected 0.6 | 0.6 | 97.1% | 60.0% | won(1) |
| Under 1.5 mlbHits | May 7 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 87.8% | 73.3% | won(1) |
| Over 0.5 mlbHits | May 6 · projected 0.7 | 0.7 | 74.4% | 71.4% | won(1) |
- Under 0.5 batterWalksSep 13 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 71.5%
- Book
- 67.7%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 28 · projected 0.3won(0)
- Model
- 81.3%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 0.5 batterWalksAug 24 · projected 0.4won(0)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsAug 15 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 19 · projected 0.8won(1)
- Model
- 71.0%
- Book
- 61.5%
- Over 0.5 totalBasesJul 19 · projected 1.1won(1)
- Model
- 63.6%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJul 1 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.1%
- Book
- 62.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 29 · projected 1.0won(1)
- Model
- 64.2%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 28 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 71.2%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 15 · projected 1.0lost(0)
- Model
- 63.4%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 6 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 60.8%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsJun 5 · projected 0.8lost(0)
- Model
- 71.8%
- Book
- 64.9%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 18 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 77.9%
- Book
- 69.2%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 17 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 77.9%
- Book
- 63.0%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 14 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 66.7%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 13 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 98.3%
- Book
- 71.4%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 9 · projected 0.6won(0)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 72.2%
- Under 1.5 totalBasesMay 7 · projected 0.6won(1)
- Model
- 97.1%
- Book
- 60.0%
- Under 1.5 mlbHitsMay 7 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 87.8%
- Book
- 73.3%
- Over 0.5 mlbHitsMay 6 · projected 0.7won(1)
- Model
- 74.4%
- Book
- 71.4%
Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.
Frequently asked questions
How has the model done on Luke Keaschall's props?
Across the last 20 graded model lines on Luke Keaschall, 16 won and 4 lost.
Every Luke Keaschall line, priced
Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.
Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).