Luke Raley

Seattle Mariners · #20 · 0 games logged

Projection vs line history

Model lines frozen before each game and graded after it — misses included.

Projection vs line history
Line	Date	Projection	Model	Book	Result
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jul 25 · projected 0.9	0.9	64.5%	56.5%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jun 18 · projected 0.9	0.9	66.3%	56.5%	void(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jun 13 · projected 0.7	0.7	66.8%	64.3%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	Jun 12 · projected 0.7	0.7	66.8%	66.7%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 29 · projected 0.9	0.9	66.1%	56.5%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 16 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.0%	73.3%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 16 · projected 0.7	0.7	74.6%	54.5%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 15 · projected 0.6	0.6	97.0%	73.3%	won(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 15 · projected 0.7	0.7	74.6%	54.5%	lost(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 13 · projected 0.6	0.6	96.0%	70.6%	lost(5)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 13 · projected 0.7	0.7	67.2%	59.2%	won(1)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 12 · projected 0.7	0.7	67.2%	55.6%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 12 · projected 0.6	0.6	95.9%	70.6%	won(1)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 9 · projected 0.6	0.6	95.9%	66.7%	void(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 9 · projected 0.7	0.7	67.1%	61.5%	void(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 6 · projected 0.6	0.6	96.9%	75.0%	void(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 6 · projected 0.7	0.7	74.5%	54.5%	void(0)
Under 1.5 totalBases	May 5 · projected 0.6	0.6	96.9%	75.0%	won(0)
Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis	May 5 · projected 1.8	1.8	76.4%	60.8%	lost(0)
Over 0.5 mlbHits	May 5 · projected 0.7	0.7	74.5%	54.5%	lost(0)

Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jul 25 · projected 0.9
won(1)
Model
64.5%
Book
56.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jun 18 · projected 0.9
void(0)
Model
66.3%
Book
56.5%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jun 13 · projected 0.7
lost(0)
Model
66.8%
Book
64.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
Jun 12 · projected 0.7
won(1)
Model
66.8%
Book
66.7%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 29 · projected 0.9
won(1)
Model
66.1%
Book
56.5%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 16 · projected 0.6
won(1)
Model
97.0%
Book
73.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 16 · projected 0.7
won(1)
Model
74.6%
Book
54.5%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 15 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
97.0%
Book
73.3%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 15 · projected 0.7
lost(0)
Model
74.6%
Book
54.5%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 13 · projected 0.6
lost(5)
Model
96.0%
Book
70.6%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 13 · projected 0.7
won(1)
Model
67.2%
Book
59.2%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 12 · projected 0.7
won(1)
Model
67.2%
Book
55.6%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 12 · projected 0.6
won(1)
Model
95.9%
Book
70.6%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 9 · projected 0.6
void(0)
Model
95.9%
Book
66.7%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 9 · projected 0.7
void(0)
Model
67.1%
Book
61.5%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 6 · projected 0.6
void(0)
Model
96.9%
Book
75.0%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 6 · projected 0.7
void(0)
Model
74.5%
Book
54.5%
Under 1.5 totalBases
May 5 · projected 0.6
won(0)
Model
96.9%
Book
75.0%
Over 0.5 hitsRunsRbis
May 5 · projected 1.8
lost(0)
Model
76.4%
Book
60.8%
Over 0.5 mlbHits
May 5 · projected 0.7
lost(0)
Model
74.5%
Book
54.5%

Fewer than 5 logged games so far — this page fills in as the season goes on.

Frequently asked questions

How has the model done on Luke Raley's props?

Across the last 15 graded model lines on Luke Raley, 10 won and 5 lost.

Every Luke Raley line, priced

Alt lines, the full projected distribution, and correlation with teammates when you build a parlay.

Open the model — free How the model works

Model probabilities are estimates, not guarantees — an edge describes a price, not a result. EdgeGoat does not accept wagers. In Florida, sports betting is offered by Hard Rock Bet (Hard Rock Digital, a separate company).